Most industry observers expect it will be too tall of an order for Congress to finish the difficult task of enacting GSE reform in 2014 amid the high-stakes mid-term elections and with political control of the Senate up for grabs. However, some experts note that lawmakers, both Democrat and Republican, may become more open to compromise and horse trading closer to the end of the year if it means getting legislation to the President’s desk rather than risk starting over next year with a potentially GOP-controlled 114th Congress.
With the first quarter of the year nearly over, the Federal Housing Finance Agency has yet to indicate when, or even whether, it will issue its 2014 Conservatorship Scorecard. The agency debuted its scorecard in early March 2012 under then FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco as a means to implement in fuller detail the Finance Agency’s “strategic plan” for a post-Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac secondary market.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have a liquidation value – excluding what they’ve already paid to the federal government – potentially well north of $200 billion, according to an independent evaluation conducted on the two GSEs.The report, conducted by Alvarez & Marsal, concluded that if the two GSEs are eventually liquidated, the federal government could reap $170 billion to $234 billion in net proceeds. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have a liquidation value – excluding what they’ve already paid to the federal government – potentially well north of $200 billion, according to an independent evaluation conducted on the two GSEs. The report, conducted by Alvarez & Marsal, concluded that if the two GSEs are eventually liquidated, the federal government could reap $170 billion to $234 billion in net proceeds.
Lawmakers and industry groups are strongly suggesting that the Federal Housing Finance Agency think twice then forget about its proposal to set GSE conforming purchase limits. The conforming loan limit is currently $417,000 and the high-cost conforming loan limit is $625,500. Last December, the FHFA proposed to establish “loan purchase” limits for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac which wouldn’t occur until October at the earliest.
GSE profits are poised to remain the multi-billion dollar gift that keeps on giving to Uncle Sam over the next decade, according to a White House analysis. The analysis, which is part of the Obama administration’s 2015 budget, assumes Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac remain in operation and continue to pay dividends to the government under the current “net worth sweep” arrangement promulgated by the Treasury Department in the summer of 2012. As part of the President’s Fiscal Year 2015 budget request, the White House Office of Management and Budget released projections that the GSEs could return an additional $179.2 billion to the Treasury through 2024.
Fannie, Freddie Helped by Special Servicers. While nonbank servicers are under scrutiny from a number of different parties, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac said special servicers reduce credit losses compared with traditional bank servicers. In its latest earnings report, Freddie said it facilitated the transfer of servicing for $55.6 billion in unpaid principal balance to special servicers in 2013. “Some of these specialty servicers have grown rapidly in the last two years and now service a large share of our loans,” the GSE said.
A continued decline in GSE refinances, in concert with faltering purchase activity midway through the first quarter, helped contribute to an overall drop in the volume of single-family mortgages securitized by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in February. Fannie and Freddie issued $44.6 billion in single-family mortgage-backed securities in February, a 5.1 percent decline from January and a steeper 62.0 percent drop for the first two months of 2014 compared to the same period in the previous year.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in 2013 wrapped up most of the massive amount of repurchase demands they made on legacy loans originated before 2008, but the GSEs are looking more closely at new production and, increasingly, servicer performance. Together, Fannie and Freddie reported a total of $37.87 billion in mortgage repurchases and other settlements of buyback claims, which typically means the lender indemnified the GSE for its losses.
The mortgage market has gradually shifted upstream since the collapse of the housing market and the painstakingly slow recovery, with big-ticket mortgages capturing a growing share of new originations, according to a new Inside Mortgage Finance analysis. Mortgages exceeding the traditional conventional loan limit of $417,000 accounted for 19.8 percent of new originations in 2013, up from 16.2 percent during the previous year. And with overall mortgage-production volume slumping over the second half of 2013, the jumbo share of new originations rose to 23.3 percent in the fourth quarter. The secondary-market agencies accounted...[Includes three data charts]
Bank and thrift holdings of adjustable-rate mortgages have increased significantly in recent years, according to an analysis by Inside Mortgage Finance, driven in part by originations of jumbo mortgages. Banks and thrifts held $647.42 billion in ARMs in portfolio as of the end of 2013, according to call-report data. The total ARM portfolio increased by 0.7 percent last year, the third annual increase in a row, while the aggregate bank and thrift retained portfolio of first-lien mortgages fell 3.0 percent. ARMs accounted for 37.1 percent of the bank/thrift mortgage portfolio at the end of 2013, compared to just 31.9 percent at the end of 2011. Lenders have to keep generating...[Includes two data charts]