Non-agency CMBS issuance was up in the third quarter, thanks to a gain in retail-property securitization. But agency multifamily MBS production slumped.
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Attendance at the ABS East conference hit a record this week even as industry participants are anticipating a recession. Parts of the ABS market are offering investors better returns than corporate debt.
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Nearly 90% of loan liquidations in Ginnie MBS resulted from borrower payoffs in the third quarter, with most of them linked to MBS issued in 2020 and 2021.
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Bank demand for agency MBS is weak, leading to wider spreads and losses on MBS holdings for some. Banks are also reducing their lending activity, providing an opening for nonbanks.
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Delinquencies are rising on commercial MBS, driven by office properties. Losses are expected to follow and it could be years before the situation improves.
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Desperate times call for desperate measures. But, perhaps, having the GSEs create demand by purchasing (a lot) more of their own MBS in an effort to lower rates is a bridge too far.
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The creation of a U.S. sovereign wealth fund could grease the skids for an end to the conservatorships of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
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