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Inside MBS & ABS

July 14, 2017

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Despite Slump in Prime-Jumbo Space, Non-agency MBS Production Gained Momentum in Second Quarter

The non-agency MBS market is off to what looks like one of its best years in terms of new issuance since the financial crisis, according to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. A total of $15.30 billion of non-agency MBS were issued in the second quarter, representing a gain of 13.4 percent from the first three months of 2017. That brought year-to-date production to $28.80 billion, a 32.0 percent increase over the first half of 2016. As has been the case since 2009, most of the new production has been...[Includes three data tables] Read More

Non-Agency MBS Trustees Expected to Follow Wells in Withholding Funds for Deals Subject to Clean-up Calls

Wells Fargo’s recent maneuver to hold back funds on vintage non-agency MBS subject to clean-up calls could have broader implications for the market, according to industry analysts. Other trustees appear likely to follow the lead set by Wells, which could limit clean-up calls by servicers. In June, Wells withheld $94.3 million in funds from investors in 20 non-agency MBS that were subject to clean-up calls by New Residential Investment. The deals in question are the subject of a lawsuit involving MBS investors alleging that Wells failed to perform its duties as trustee. Wells disputed the charges and withheld the funds to cover potential litigation costs. Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said... Read More

Royal Bank of Scotland Settles with FHFA for $5.5B in 2011 Lawsuit Over Non-agency MBS

Federal Housing Finance Agency lawsuits over pre-crisis non-agency MBS are winding down with one of the last holdouts, Royal Bank of Scotland, reaching a settlement this week for $5.5 billion. In 2011, the agency filed charges against 18 issuers and underwriters alleging securities law violations and fraud regarding non-agency MBS sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. JP Morgan Chase settled for $4.0 billion, Deutsche Bank for $1.9 billion and Goldman Sachs for $1.2 billion. Most of the cases were settled in 2013 and 2014. The two government-sponsored enterprises purchased... Read More

Yellen Affirms Fed Balance Sheet Reduction to Start This Year, Analysts Try to Anticipate Market Impact

The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee is moving closer to beginning what is likely to be a long and drawn-out process to gradually and predictably unwind the U.S. central bank’s huge portfolio of agency MBS and debt – the sooner, the better, according to Fed chief Janet Yellen. “The FOMC intends to gradually reduce the Federal Reserve’s securities holdings by decreasing its reinvestment of the principal payments it receives from the securities held in the System Open Market Account,” she said this week in her semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony on monetary policy to members of Congress. “Specifically, such payments will be reinvested... Read More

MBS Trading Volume Increased in June, But Concerns Remain About Supply and What the Fed Might Do

The average daily trading volume of agency MBS reached $209.9 billion in June, the second highest reading of the year and a sign that liquidity is picking up, according to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. The increase in trading comes despite the fact that Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae issued a total of $317.7 billion of new MBS in the second quarter, a 6.1 percent decline from the first quarter. For the six-month period, 2017 holds the edge with volume up 3.5 percent. But it hasn’t been... Read More

ABS Investors May Turn to ‘Moneyball’ Tactics With the Fed Expected to Increase Interest Rates

ABS investors could see strong returns by employing the “Moneyball” strategy pioneered in Major League Baseball by the Oakland Athletics, according to analysts at Wells Fargo Securities. The strategy, detailed in a book and movie, focuses on certain statistics that managers of the Athletics thought were undervalued by other teams. Wells said the theory can be adapted to the ABS market, with an emphasis on deals that can reliably hit “singles” instead of potentially risky investments that aim for home runs. “With interest rates low and ABS spreads reasonably tight, many market participants are... Read More

Small Lenders Clamor for a Voice In Housing-Finance Reform Debate

As talks intensify on how to get Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac out of limbo, smaller lenders are clamoring to make sure they have a say in how housing-finance reform plays out. Nearly all sides agree that small lenders should continue to have access to the secondary market; how that’s accomplished is a different matter. The Main Street GSE Reform Coalition – an umbrella group made up of small-lender and community-advocacy groups – wants the government-sponsored enterprises to begin rebuilding capital buffers by suspending their dividend payments to the Treasury Department. It also wants... Read More

Morningstar: Proposed REMIC Structure May Boost Liquidity, Lessen Counterparty Risk

The proposal to restructure the credit-risk transfer debt-note programs at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to make them more attractive to real estate investment trusts likely won’t have a negative impact on the credit risk and quality of those deals, Morningstar said in a new report. The proposed changes to Fannie’s Connecticut Avenue Securities and Freddie’s Structured Agency Credit Risk programs would characterize them as real estate mortgage investment conduits. This would allow REITs and some overseas investors to participate more broadly in the programs. Currently, the structure of the government-sponsored enterprises’ popular CRT programs doesn’t meet... Read More

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