The United States just concluded an electoral campaign season that involved the expenditure of billions of dollars and resulted in no change in the balance of power on the federal level, beyond strengthening Democrats’ control in the U.S. Senate. But that doesn’t mean nothing important is going to happen over the next four years. Securitization industry officials, Washington insiders, political observers and policy wonks all expect hard financial realities to compel policymakers into responding to a host of issues that will significantly affect housing finance and securitization. “We don’t think the ‘status-quo election,’ as some have called it, means status quo for residential mortgage finance,” said Karen Shaw Petrou, a managing partner at Federal Financial Analytics, a Washington, DC, think tank. She thinks...
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Delinquencies on non-agency MBS will likely increase temporarily due to Hurricane Sandy, according to industry analysts, but long-term losses due to the storm are expected to be minimal. Insurance will play a key factor in overall losses, and estimates vary significantly on the extent of coverage in the affected areas. Moody’s Investors Service projected this week that non-agency MBS are unlikely to suffer material losses due to Sandy even though the affiliated Moody’s Analytics estimated the damage to residential housing from the storm will hit $10.5 billion. “Even if damages exceed...
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Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac continued to trim their retained holdings of MBS and unsecuritized mortgages during the third quarter, but at a slower pace than in previous periods, according to an analysis by Inside MBS & ABS of earnings reports released this week by the two government-sponsored enterprises. One of the conditions of the conservatorships the GSEs entered four years ago was that they would reduce their retained mortgage portfolios by 10 percent a year. Those terms were revised in August to include a 15 percent annual wind-down, which would take each GSE’s investment portfolio down to $250 billion by the beginning of 2018, four years sooner than under the previous arrangement. As Freddie noted...[Includes one data chart]
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Redwood Trust late last week reported net income of $40.0 million for the third quarter of 2012, including $3.0 million in net gains on the $372.0 million of non-agency MBS issuance and whole loan sales the real estate investment trust completed during the period. Redwood officials said the company is well-positioned for growth in non-agency MBS issuance, commercial MBS issuance and soon agency origination activity. In a quarterly review, company officials noted that some have called the REIT “crazy” for resuming issuance of non-agency MBS after the financial crisis of 2007. Redwood has issued eight non-agency MBS since April 2010 totaling $2.6 billion. The REIT said...
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A task force of state insurance regulators has agreed to require insurers to set aside additional capital to cover risks tied to residential and commercial MBS in an effort to buffer the industry from losses in the event of a severe downturn. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ Valuation of Securities Task Force voted 11-2 to support a proposed increase in the NAIC’s capital requirements for U.S. life insurers. The change in capital requirements is driven by year-end NAIC modeling assumptions related to RMBS and CMBS. The change raises...
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The ACLU is calling for changes to federal anti-discrimination statutes to deter secondary mortgage market participants from engaging in business practices that might have a discriminatory impact on certain protected classes of borrowers. In a recent analysis of mortgage foreclosures, the ACLU said the origination and securitization of subprime and other high-risk mortgage products have hurt minority families and caused the loss of 3.5 million homes to foreclosure. The ACLU believes...
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Complicating the post-election process of regulatory implementation is the expectation that a number of top officials at key agencies are likely to move on during President Obama’s second term. For the mortgage finance industry, perhaps the most notable potential departure among administration officials is that of Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner. Geithner has dropped hints more than once this past year that he wants to move on. Treasury officials did not respond to requests for confirmation of that as of press time. Other key officials on the industry’s departure watch list include...
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