MBS trading increased in June. That’s the good news. But for trading to really take off, the Fed needs to cut rates, an unlikely prospect until next year.
It’s all how you look at it. Right? The early results show a turnaround in bank mortgage lending on a sequential basis for the second quarter but ugly drops compared to a year ago. The problem: 7% mortgages.
If ever there was a Horatio Alger story for the mortgage industry it’s Angelo Mozilo, the co-founder of Countrywide Financial. The recently deceased Mozilo proved that nonbanks could compete with the megabanks. Then the subprime crisis happened.
Is the mortgage REIT sector in for a turnaround? Maybe so, but some companies will be paying more money to preferred shareholders who bought variable-rate debt that reprices in 2024.