MSR bids are currently largely rational, though a few packages sold in recent weeks at unexpected prices, according to Brian Simon, a managing director at Bungalow Funding.
Refis are poised to increase and MSR values will decline as interest rates decline. United Wholesale Mortgage is prepared for the moment, having sold off a significant amount of MSRs earlier this year.
There’s more demand for mortgage servicing rights than there is supply at the moment, helping to keep prices for the assets elevated. Even if MSR sales increase this year, prices are expected to remain firm.
Lenders continue to make bulk purchases to offset runoff in their portfolios and make up for anemic originations. However, demand for MSRs could be near a peak, according to industry analysts.
With the supply of MSRs expected to grow, there are concerns that prices won’t hold up. Meanwhile, the CFPB is considering incentives for lenders to retain servicing.
The tide is starting to turn in favor of servicing sales where higher note rates are involved. Don’t expect premium prices or a tsunami of deals, but at least it’s an outlet.
MISMO is helping to facilitate collaboration between servicers and federal regulators to improve the servicing transfer process. The CFPB is also keeping a close eye on complaints tied to servicing transfers.
MSR sales hit a record in 2022 and even more sales are expected both this year and in 2024. The jump in supply is presenting investors with attractive opportunities.
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