Almost all of the decline in combined GSE profits was due to a spike in loan-loss provisions. But while Fannie’s provisions continued to grow in the fourth quarter, Freddie’s may have peaked in the third quarter. (Includes data chart.)
The GSEs earned a combined $20.5 billion in theoretical net income under the severely adverse economic scenario of the 2022 stress tests. But those returns would vanish if they had to reserve for deferred tax assets.
The GSEs’ latest SEC filings reveal a combined capital shortfall of $359 billion at the end of the first quarter. But combined earnings were a healthy $8.21 billion for the quarter. (Includes data chart.)
Spikes in amortization income, guarantee-fee income and credit-related expenses are all closely tied to the government’s intervention in the coronavirus crisis. (Includes data chart.)