As borrowers in prime non-agency MBS transition out of forbearance plans, investors in the deals could experience reduced cashflows due to interest shortfalls.
With a relatively high share of borrowers missing mortgage payments, investors in non-agency MBS are seeing reduced cash flows and, in some cases, losses. Though mortgage performance is improving, the outlook for investors remains uncertain.
Issuers of prime non-agency MBS are completing deals with mortgages originated after the market volatility of March while expanded-credit MBS continue to be stocked with older loans.
Prime jumbo MBS production posted the biggest increase of any sector, rising 177% from the second quarter, while ECM securitization was up 14% in the third quarter. (Includes three data charts.)
Sterling Bank has offered to buy back all non-QMs after uncovering various problems with its lending program. Between May and July, the bank repurchased loans from five MBS, taking a loss.
Issuance in the MBS and ABS markets seems to be humming along with tighter spreads. But industry participants warn investors should beware of over-optimism.
Fannie and Freddie recorded a huge increase in single-family MBS during the second quarter, capturing a huge share of the growing conventional-conforming loan market. (Includes data chart.)