The Federal Housing Finance Agency in recent years has done a better job than Ginnie Mae in interagency planning for a hypothetical nonbank crisis, according to the Government Accountability Office.
The Trump administration has initiated an effort to end leases on office space used by the federal government. Some properties in commercial MBS have government leases but few deals face elevated exposures, according to S&P.
Actions by the Federal Reserve are helping to reduce volatility in the agency MBS market. Investors are comfortable with current conditions, with supply and demand seen as being in balance.
Obstacles like how to deal with the implicit guarantee and excessively high capital requirements make it unlikely that the GSEs will exit conservatorship under Trump, though the chances are higher than before his election.
The MBS is stocked with investment-property mortgages eligible for sale to the GSEs. Bayview Asset Management last issued a non-agency MBS on its Oceanview shelf in October 2022.
The new licensing requirement represents a major shift for the MBS market, with participants scrambling to either comply or avoid loans in the state. A challenge to the requirements appears likely.
The debate over how to end the conservatorships of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac hinges on whether rating services would downgrade the GSEs if they exit without an explicit government guarantee.
Is Onity Group eyeing a sale? Perhaps. And why not? Servicing values are approaching a 25-year high.
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