Mortgage originations are already off to a better start in 2015, and industry economists are predicting, on average, a 15 percent increase from last year’s sluggish output. But uncertain prospects in the housing market point toward a decline in mortgage originations next year, according to forecasters at the secondary market conference sponsored this week by the Mortgage Bankers Association. 2015 should bring the strongest housing sales volume since 2007, said Leonard Kiefer, deputy chief economist at Freddie Mac. Sales activity was decent over the winter, despite severe weather in many areas, but the market has yet to get back to normal. Freddie looks...[Includes one data table]

Seven months ago, a fledgling nonprime lender called Deephaven Mortgage unveiled a $300 million investment in the firm by a global “alternative” hedge fund called Varde Partners, Minneapolis. But since then, not much has been heard about Deephaven. Then again, it might be said that the “new” nonprime industry is still trying to figure out how to operate in a world of tight regulation, non-QM lending and a securitization market that doesn’t want to touch its product. Matt Nichols, the former Goldman Sachs managing director who formed Deephaven two years ago, did not respond...

The conventional-conforming sector led the mortgage market’s surge in production volume during the first quarter of 2015, according to a new Inside Mortgage Finance ranking and analysis. Lenders originated an estimated $207 billion of conventional-conforming mortgages during the first three months of this year, an 18.3 percent increase from the fourth quarter of 2014. The conventional-conforming sector accounted for 57.5 percent of the $360 billion in overall mortgage originations during the period. The $360 billion is a revision of our initial estimate and does not include home-equity lending. The government and jumbo markets were...[Includes two data tables]

Separate lawsuits against major banks were dismissed last week, providing some insight on how lenders and servicers can defend against claims brought by consumer advocates under the False Claims Act and allegations of redlining and reverse redlining. In 2013, Advocates for Basic Legal Equality alleged that U.S. Bank’s servicing practices violated the FCA. U.S. District Court Judge Jack Zouhary dismissed the lawsuit, noting that the claims were barred by the “public disclosure doctrine.” Larry Platt, a partner at the law firm of K&L Gates, said...

The first-time homebuyer share of home purchases in April hit its highest level in more than four years, according to the Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance’s HousingPulse Tracking Survey. The purchases have been boosted by a reduction in the FHA’s mortgage insurance premiums and help rebut concerns about the demise of the first-time homebuyer. First-time homebuyers accounted for 37.6 percent of home purchases in April, up from a 34.3 percent share a year ago, based on three-month moving averages. The last time the first-time homebuyer share of home purchases was above 37.6 percent was in August 2010 at a 40.0 percent share. Tom Popik, research director of Campbell Surveys, said...

House GOP’s Proposed Budget Rejects IT Administrative Fee, HTF. House Republicans withheld funding for a proposed administrative fee, which the FHA planned to invest in technology to improve quality assurance and reduce paid-claims losses. The Department of Housing and Urban Development first requested authority to collect the fee in the President’s FY 2015 budget request but was turned down. It appears House Republicans are on track again to reject the proposed fee in the FY 2016 appropriations bill, said HUD Secretary Juan Castro. Castro lambasted the House Republicans’ proposed budget cuts, saying they would hinder HUD from carrying out its mission and from investing in communities that most need help. The GOP bill also rescinds funding to the proposed Housing Trust Fund, which allocates a small percentage of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac profits to ...

Price reduction and improving economic factors helped push FHA volume up in the first quarter of 2015, according to an Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis of agency data. Production of forward single-family mortgages insured by FHA increased by 12.3 percent in the first quarter to $39.5 billion from $35.2 billion in the prior quarter, powered by a sharp uptick in refinances. FHA’s total refi business jumped from $2.29 billion in endorsements in February, a month of record snowstorms in the Northeast, to $8.15 billion in March. Total FHA forward-mortgage business rose by 83.8 percent from February, data showed. FHA streamline refis rose a whopping 144.1 percent quarter-over-quarter while conventional-to-FHA refis jumped 29.2 percent over the same period. Falling purchase loan volume, which was the reason for the overall decline in FHA originations last year, spilled over into ... [2 charts]

The Veterans Administration’s home loan guaranty program has racked up some serious refinance numbers in recent months, causing primary mortgage insurers to lose some market share during the first quarter of 2015, according to an Inside Mortgage Finance analysis of guarantor activity. Streamline refinance loans accounted for 59.0 percent of VA loans securitized by Ginnie Mae during the first three months, compared to just 32.8 percent of private MI loans securitized by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac over the same period. In addition, the VA had the highest average loan size among insured mortgages in the first quarter, approximately 7.2 percent larger than the average loan with private MI. Private mortgage insurers provided coverage on $45.2 billion of mint conventional mortgages during the first quarter, down 5.3 percent from the fourth quarter of last year. VA and FHA originations also increased over the same period by 6.0 percent and 5.5 percent, respectively. FHA forward originations surged ... [1 chart ]

The VA share of total loan applications (purchase and refinancing) for the week ending May 8, remained unchanged at 11.9 percent while FHA’s share fell to 13.8 percent from 14.0 percent the week prior, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s latest weekly survey of applications. VA purchase loan applications were up a smidgen, 0.2 percent, for the week while FHA purchase applications were up slightly higher, 0.6 percent. Refi applications at both agencies, however, were down for the week – 11.5 percent for FHA and 5.1 percent for VA. Meanwhile, the Rural Housing Service’s share of total applications rose to 0.9 percent as of May 8, from 0.8 percent the week prior. While there was no change in RHS’ share of refi loan applications during the week, its purchase loan applications was up 8.6 percent, a hefty increase for an agency that accounts for only a ...

The FHA overall delinquency rate for single-family mortgages fell by 63 basis points to 9.10 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in the first quarter of 2015 from the previous quarter, while VA loans recorded the only increase across all loan types over the same period, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Overall, mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures continued to fall in the first quarter and are now at their lowest levels since 2007, according to the MBA’s quarterly delinquency-rate survey. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the overall delinquency rate fell 14 bps to 5.54 percent from the fourth quarter of 2014, and 57 bps from one year ago, the MBA said. The serious delinquency rate – the share of mortgages that are 90 days or more past due or in foreclosure – likewise fell 28 basis points to 4.24 percent from the previous quarter and down ...