Even though originations are down roughly 50% this year, investors are still willing to buy mortgage companies, believing the downturn won’t last forever. Of the sales that have occurred, many involve asset transfers.
First Republic Bank isn’t increasing its interest rates for jumbo mortgages at the same pace that the Fed is increasing interest rates, leading to lower margins for the bank.
Redwood acquisitions of jumbo mortgages declined by more than 70% on a sequential basis in the third quarter. Officials at the REIT suggested that Redwood will continue to limit loan acquisitions until market dynamics improve.
As bad as originations were this year, 2023 is projected to be worse. Purchase-mortgage business is expected to decline even as mortgage rates come down and home prices level off.
Debt service coverage ratio loans for investment properties are starting to look more risky as the Fed works to address inflation. Still, activity in the sector is increasing.
After a couple of years where annual home price growth averaged 20%, analysts expect prices to flatten or even decline. And it’s possible the conforming loan limit set for 2023 will remain in place for all of 2024.
Borrowers and lenders increased their emphasis on ARMs in the second quarter as interest rates continued to spike. The loans accounted for more than 12% of total originations during that time. (Includes data chart.)
The mortgage exchange will now facilitate originations and sales of various types of non-QMs, with “some of the industry’s most generous guidelines” for the products.