While Fannie and Freddie refi business fell sharply in the second quarter, there were significant increases in loans with low credit scores. Meanwhile, the fastest growing sectors of the GSE purchase market had higher LTV ratios. (Includes two data charts.)
Wells Fargo and Chase together accounted for more than half of all borrowers exiting forbearance in July, Wells Fargo Securities found in its deep dive into new, loan-level data on Fannie Mae’s Connecticut Avenue Securities.
Fannie Mae’s credit-risk transfer loan-level data show 21.0% of borrowers that were in forbearance in June exited when their relief plans expired in July. That works out to 1.7% of the government-sponsored enterprise’s outstandings.
The improved financial performance of the GSEs largely reflects the impact of CECL. The provisions for losses that would have been made in 2Q20 under the old accounting standard were already accounted for by CECL, which was adopted in December. (Includes data chart.)
The Federal Housing Finance Agency said it lacks sufficient data to create statistical models to “reflect economic conditions for 2021” because of the market disruption caused by the coronavirus.