Recent disappointing job creation numbers and continued concern about slowing economic activity around the globe have convinced an increasing number of Wall Street analysts, participants and observers that the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee will not raise interest rates at its next meeting, scheduled for later this month. Further, more market professionals don’t predict an uptick in rates until sometime in 2016. And a few are even speculating a liftoff won’t come until the year after that. According to Peter Schiff, CEO and chief global strategist for investment firm Euro Pacific Capital, “the downright dismal September jobs report that was released last Friday may prove...

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac saw a modest decline in the flow of home loans into their mortgage-backed securities programs during the third quarter of 2015, according to a new analysis and ranking by Inside Mortgage Finance. The two government-sponsored enterprises issued a total of $223.47 billion of single-family MBS during the third quarter, a 3.8 percent decline from the previous quarter. Freddie had a slightly larger downturn (4.1 percent) than Fannie (3.6 percent). Although overall MBS volume was down, lenders delivered...[Includes three data tables]

While there may be some dispute in the industry regarding front-end versus back-end transactions, it’s clear that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac credit-risk transfer programs are here to stay and will only intensify, according to Bob Ryan, the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s acting deputy director of the division of conservatorship. “The FHFA and the enterprises are committed to credit risk on a routine basis. It is not a pilot; it’s a routine part of our ongoing activity,” he said during a Bipartisan Policy Center seminar on mortgage finance reform. Ryan re-emphasized...

Issuance of ABS backed by leases on small/mid-ticket equipment has rebounded since the financial crisis to levels last seen 15 years ago. However, industry participants suggest that loan-level disclosure requirements and mandatory risk-retention could limit activity in the sector going forward. At the recent ABS East conference produced by Information Management Network in Miami, Du Trieu, a senior director at Fitch Ratings, said issuance is increasing due to the improving economy and investor demand. “The collateral is business critical and income producing,” he added. Nearly $12.0 billion in small/mid-ticket ABS was issued...

Ginnie Mae has announced revised rules for issuers seeking approval of changes in their business status due to an adversarial relationship with agencies, mergers, asset transfers or a change in ownership or control. The agency has been receiving many issuer requests and they are getting complicated, according to Ted Tozer, Ginnie Mae president. Issuers must comply with the updated guidance in order to remain an eligible participant in the Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities program. The guidance took effect immediately. Previously, issuers were required to notify Ginnie Mae in writing within five days of any material adverse change in their business relationships with Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHA, VA, Rural Development, the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s Office of Public and Indian Housing or any other regulatory agency. Under the revised guidance, the ...

The average daily trading volume for agency MBS fell slightly to $187.6 billion in August from the prior month, the second lowest reading of the year, according to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. Lower trading volume indicates that liquidity has been reduced somewhat, but there could be brighter days ahead: the eight-month daily trading average is a bit higher at $200.9 billion and if that figure holds for the rest of the year, it will surpass last’s year’s daily average of $177.9 billion. Then again, $200.9 billion wouldn’t be...

Both of the government-sponsored enterprises are on track to meet the 2015 risk-sharing goals established by the Federal Housing Finance Agency with a quarter of the year to spare. Officials at Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHFA said the GSEs will continue to work to expand the risk-sharing efforts, which are popular among many investors in the secondary market. At the ABS East conference produced by Information Management Network last week in Miami, Scott Smith, an associate director of capital policy at the FHFA, said he would like to see continued efforts to broaden the investor base for risk-sharing transactions. More than 160 investors have bought...

The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee this week fulfilled the expectations of roughly half the Wall Street participants and economists surveyed by financial news organizations and opted to hold the line on interest rates, and to maintain the status quo when it comes to the Fed’s massive balance sheet holdings of agency residential MBS and debt. “We recognize that there has been a great deal of focus on today’s policy decision,” Fed Chair Janet Yellen said in her press conference after the FOMC’s two-day meeting concluded Thursday afternoon. “The recovery from the Great Recession has advanced sufficiently far, and domestic spending appears sufficiently robust, that an argument can be made for a rise in interest rates at this time. We discussed this possibility at our meeting. “However, in light of the heightened uncertainties abroad, and a slightly softer expected path for inflation, the committee judged...

Ginnie Mae is lowering the guaranty fee for a GNMA Platinum security to get more investors to use the program. “We want to encourage utilization of the program by lowering the g-fee to an amount sufficient for investors to create a platinum security, which will increase the administrative, pricing and distribution efficiency of the program,” said John Getchis, Ginnie senior vice president of capital markets. Platinum securities allow...

Ginnie Mae securitized $14.2 billion of VA jumbo loans in the first half of 2015, more than double the volume seen during the same period a year ago. VA securitization data for the first six months reflect an upward trend in VA loan originations, which lenders attribute to better outreach to veterans and servicemembers and aggressive marketing strategies. VA jumbo securitization in the first half of the year was up 120.7 percent from the same prior-year period. Volume also was up 13.9 percent in the second quarter from the previous quarter. All top-five VA jumbo securitizers reported large gains year over year, but four showed volume decreases quarter over quarter. Third-ranked PennyMac recorded a 3.4 percent gain in the second quarter from the prior quarter. The top five, in sequential order – Wells Fargo, Freedom Mortgage Corp., PennyMac Corp., U.S. Bank and Quicken Loans – accounted for ... [ chart ]